Trump's Victory in Iowa Is the First Step to His Defeat
January 16, 2024 2:49pm
Donald Trump's victory in yesterday's Republican caucus in Iowa surprised no one. He has lead in the polls consistently since he announced his bid to return the The White House. With 51% of the vote, Donald Trump secured 20 of Iowa's 40 delegates to the Republican National Convention. Coming in second place at 21%, Ron DeSantis received 9 delegates. Third place Nikki Haley, who won 19% of the vote, got 8 delegates. And Vivek Ramaswamy walked away with 7% of the vote and 3 delegates, but he literally walked away in that he withdrew from the race. Asa Hutchinson and Chris Christie also withdrew. But none of those specifics matter.
It is inevitable that Donald Trump will receive the party's nomination at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. He will secure it long before the July convention, however. Along the way, it is certain he will win the Republican primaries and caucuses in every state in the union. The only unknown is what his margins of victory will be.
While Trump supporters are excited about the Iowa win and his upcoming victories elsewhere, I am not. It is understandable why Trump is so popular among Republican voters. He accomplished a lot of good during his four years as President. He has been viciously and unjustly persecuted by the Democrats and their allies in the propaganda press. Federal and state governments have been weaponized against him before, during, and after his time in office. And the 2020 election was stolen from him via the loosey-goosey processes and procedures used to conduct the unconstitutional elections. That's not just my opinion, it is the opinion of courts in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. The people who support Donald Trump see how he has been mistreated, so they view him winning in 2024 as righting some of the wrongs committed against him. That enthusiastic support will easily win him the Republican nomination. But when the entire country gets to vote in the general election on November 5th, he will get slaughtered. And Biden will get four more years.
Almost half the Republicans in Iowa voted for a candidate other than Donald Trump. And because the vote was in the form of a caucus rather than a primary, only the hardcore Republicans participated. Think about what that means. If half the hardcore Republicans don't want Trump to be President again, how many independents will?
In modern elections, 30% of the electorate will vote for the Republican no matter what. 40% will vote for the Democrat no matter what. The fight is for the 30% in the middle. That middle will not support Trump in sufficient numbers for him to win in November.
Yes, I am aware that current polls show Trump defeating Biden. But the election is nearly ten months from now, and that middle is not yet paying attention. But after the Republicans crown Trump as the party's nominee, Hollywood, academia, the plethora of left-wing organizations, and their allies in the propaganda press will launch an all out attack on Donald Trump. The voters will be reminded, often inaccurately, about all the bad things Donald Trump has said and done. Not only that, but sometime before election day, Donald trump will be found guilty of multiple felonies. Never before has a convicted felon sought the Presidency of the United States as the nominee of a major political party. Like the charges, those guilty verdicts will be politically motivated and legally erroneous. And those convictions will eventually be overturned by an appellate court. But that will occur long after election day; long after the Left has succeeded with their weaponization of the legal system to eliminate their chief political opponent. Tragically, the entire 2024 election will be all about Donald Trump. Well, everything except the victor.
This post is not sour grapes because I want Ron DeSantis in The White House, although I do. This is about the Republican electorate foolishly nominating the one person who cannot defeat Joe Biden in November. Trump's supporters are well-intentioned. They are patriots who love America and believe only Donald Trump can save it. But the road to Hell is paved with good intentions. And the road we're on is to another four years of Hell with Joe Biden in office.